Home/Spain Tips/Valencia vs Atletico Madrid
Primera DivisionSaturday, 16 September 2023 · Full-time3-0✕
VAL

Valencia

VS
ATL

Atletico Madrid

Valencia vs Atletico Madrid Prediction

Under2.5 goals
78% confidence

Why we picked this for Valencia vs Atletico Madrid

Under 2.5 goals is our call for Valencia against Atletico Madrid (Primera Division), rated at 78% confidence. Matches involving Valencia produced 2.0 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Atletico Madrid it is 3.6 goals per game, with 4 of 5 over 2.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 4 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 1 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 78%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 3-0. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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2.0
avg goals, Valencia last 5
3.6
avg goals, Atletico Madrid last 5
80%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
6 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Valencia
Deportivo Alaves 1-0 Valencia
Sep 02, 2023
Under 2.5✓
Valencia 1-2 Osasuna
Aug 27, 2023
Over 2.5✕
Valencia 1-0 Las Palmas
Aug 18, 2023
Under 2.5✓
Sevilla 1-2 Valencia
Aug 11, 2023
Over 2.5✕
Betis 1-1 Valencia
Jun 04, 2023
Under 2.5✓
Atletico Madrid
Rayo Vallecano 0-7 Atletico Madrid
Aug 28, 2023
Over 2.5✕
Betis 0-0 Atletico Madrid
Aug 20, 2023
Under 2.5✓
Atletico Madrid 3-1 Granada
Aug 14, 2023
Over 2.5✕
Villarreal 2-2 Atletico Madrid
Jun 04, 2023
Over 2.5✕
Atletico Madrid 2-1 Real Sociedad
May 28, 2023
Over 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Valencia vs Atletico Madrid, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Mar 18, 2023Atletico MadridValencia3-0
Over 2.5✕
Aug 29, 2022ValenciaAtletico Madrid0-1
Under 2.5✓
Jan 22, 2022Atletico MadridValencia3-2
Over 2.5✕
Nov 07, 2021ValenciaAtletico Madrid3-3
Over 2.5✕
Jan 24, 2021Atletico MadridValencia3-1
Over 2.5✕