Gremio
Palmeiras
Gremio vs Palmeiras Prediction
Why we picked this for Gremio vs Palmeiras
Over 2.5 goals is our call for Gremio against Palmeiras (Serie A), rated at 63% confidence. Matches involving Gremio produced 3.6 goals per game over their last 5, and 3 of those went over 2.5. For Palmeiras it is 1.2 goals per game, with 1 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form is split here (4 of 10 games went over 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.
Past meetings don't back this call, with just 2 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. The 63% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 1-0, so Over 2.5 didn't come in.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Gremio vs Palmeiras, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2023 | Palmeiras | Gremio | 4-1 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Oct 31, 2021 | Gremio | Palmeiras | 1-3 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Jul 08, 2021 | Palmeiras | Gremio | 2-0 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Mar 07, 2021 | Palmeiras | Gremio | 2-0 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Mar 01, 2021 | Gremio | Palmeiras | 0-1 | Under 2.5✕ |