Aston Villa
Brighton
Aston Villa vs Brighton Prediction
Why we picked this for Aston Villa vs Brighton
For this Premier League fixture we go with Over 2.5 goals for Aston Villa vs Brighton, at 84% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Aston Villa's games produced 3.2 goals on average, 4 of them over 2.5. Brighton's games averaged 4.2, with 5 of 5 over the line. Current form is what points us towards Over 2.5.
The head-to-head points the other way: only 2 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 84%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 6-1. The pick won.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Aston Villa vs Brighton, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 28, 2023 | Aston Villa | Brighton | 2-1 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Nov 13, 2022 | Brighton | Aston Villa | 1-2 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Feb 26, 2022 | Brighton | Aston Villa | 0-2 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Nov 20, 2021 | Aston Villa | Brighton | 2-0 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Feb 13, 2021 | Brighton | Aston Villa | 0-0 | Under 2.5✕ |