Segunda LigaMonday, 02 October 2023 · Full-time1-4✕
PEN
Penafiel
VS
NAC
Nacional
Penafiel vs Nacional Prediction
Under2.5 goals
56% confidence
Why this pick
Why we picked this for Penafiel vs Nacional
Our pick for Penafiel vs Nacional in Segunda Liga is Under 2.5 goals, with 56% confidence. Recent form: 2 of Penafiel's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (1.8 goals per game in total), against 4 of 5 for Nacional (2.8 per game). Recent form is split here (4 of 10 games went under 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.
Previous meetings agree, with 3 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. The 56% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 1-4, so Under 2.5 didn't come in.
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1.8
avg goals, Penafiel last 5
2.8
avg goals, Nacional last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
6 / 10
combined form matches over
Current form
Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Penafiel
Santa Clara 0-0 Penafiel
Under 2.5✓Sep 16, 2023
Penafiel 0-0 Academica Viseu
Under 2.5✓Sep 02, 2023
Oliveirense 3-1 Penafiel
Over 2.5✕Aug 27, 2023
Feirense 2-0 Penafiel
Under 2.5✓Aug 20, 2023
Penafiel 3-0 Leixões
Over 2.5✕Aug 13, 2023
Nacional
Nacional 1-0 Feirense
Under 2.5✓Sep 16, 2023
Vilaverdense 1-2 Nacional
Over 2.5✕Sep 03, 2023
Nacional 3-1 Leixões
Over 2.5✕Aug 28, 2023
Torreense 3-0 Nacional
Over 2.5✕Aug 21, 2023
Nacional 1-2 Maritimo
Over 2.5✕Aug 12, 2023
Head to head
Last 5 meetings
Penafiel vs Nacional, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2023 | Nacional | Penafiel | 0-0 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Penafiel | Nacional | 3-0 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Nacional | Penafiel | 1-1 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Feb 13, 2022 | Nacional | Penafiel | 3-0 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Sep 12, 2021 | Penafiel | Nacional | 1-0 | Under 2.5✓ |