Home/International Tips/Wales vs Croatia
European ChampionshipSunday, 15 October 2023 · Full-time2-1✕
WAL

Wales

VS
CRO

Croatia

Wales vs Croatia Prediction

Under2.5 goals
54% confidence

Why we picked this for Wales vs Croatia

Our pick for Wales vs Croatia in European Championship is Under 2.5 goals, with 54% confidence. Recent form: 1 of Wales's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.6 goals per game in total), against 2 of 5 for Croatia (2.2 per game). That recent scoring pattern is the main reason behind the pick.

Previous meetings agree, with 2 of the last 3 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. With 54% confidence the recent numbers only just favour this side, so this is one of our weaker picks. Final score: 2-1. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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2.6
avg goals, Wales last 5
2.2
avg goals, Croatia last 5
33%
last 3 H2H went over 2.5
3 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Wales
Latvia 0-2 Wales
Sep 11, 2023
Under 2.5✓
Turkey 2-0 Wales
Jun 19, 2023
Under 2.5✓
Wales 2-4 Armenia
Jun 16, 2023
Over 2.5✕
Wales 1-0 Latvia
Mar 28, 2023
Under 2.5✓
Croatia 1-1 Wales
Mar 25, 2023
Under 2.5✓
Croatia
Croatia 0-1 Turkey
Oct 12, 2023
Under 2.5✓
Armenia 0-1 Croatia
Sep 11, 2023
Under 2.5✓
Croatia 5-0 Latvia
Sep 08, 2023
Over 2.5✕
Croatia 0-0 Spain
Jun 18, 2023
Under 2.5✓
Netherlands 2-2 Croatia
Jun 14, 2023
Over 2.5✕

Last 3 meetings

Wales vs Croatia, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Mar 25, 2023CroatiaWales1-1
Under 2.5✓
Oct 13, 2019WalesCroatia1-1
Under 2.5✓
Jun 08, 2019CroatiaWales2-1
Over 2.5✕