Home/International Tips/Uruguay vs Brazil
World CupWednesday, 18 October 2023 · Full-time2-0✓
URU

Uruguay

VS
BRA

Brazil

Uruguay vs Brazil Prediction

Under2.5 goals
79% confidence

Why we picked this for Uruguay vs Brazil

For this World Cup fixture we go with Under 2.5 goals for Uruguay vs Brazil, at 79% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Uruguay's games produced 2.8 goals on average, 3 of them over 2.5. Brazil's games averaged 3.4, with 3 of 5 over the line. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 4 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

Past meetings don't decide it either way, with 1 of the last 2 ending under 2.5. At 79%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 2-0. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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2.8
avg goals, Uruguay last 5
3.4
avg goals, Brazil last 5
50%
last 2 H2H went over 2.5
6 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Uruguay
Colombia 2-2 Uruguay
Oct 12, 2023
Over 2.5✕
Ecuador 2-1 Uruguay
Sep 12, 2023
Over 2.5✕
Uruguay 3-1 Chile
Sep 09, 2023
Over 2.5✕
Chile 0-2 Uruguay
Mar 30, 2022
Under 2.5✓
Uruguay 1-0 Peru
Mar 25, 2022
Under 2.5✓
Brazil
Brazil 1-1 Venezuela
Oct 13, 2023
Under 2.5✓
Peru 0-1 Brazil
Sep 13, 2023
Under 2.5✓
Brazil 5-1 Bolivia
Sep 09, 2023
Over 2.5✕
Bolivia 0-4 Brazil
Mar 30, 2022
Over 2.5✕
Brazil 4-0 Chile
Mar 25, 2022
Over 2.5✕

Last 2 meetings

Uruguay vs Brazil, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Oct 15, 2021BrazilUruguay4-1
Over 2.5✕
Nov 18, 2020UruguayBrazil0-2
Under 2.5✓