Home/England Tips/Everton vs Burnley
EFL TrophyWednesday, 01 November 2023 · Full-time3-0✕
EVE

Everton

VS
BUR

Burnley

Everton vs Burnley Prediction

Under2.5 goals
98% confidence

Why we picked this for Everton vs Burnley

For this EFL Trophy fixture we go with Under 2.5 goals for Everton vs Burnley, at 98% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Everton's games produced 2.6 goals on average, 3 of them over 2.5. Burnley's games averaged 3.2, with 4 of 5 over the line. Recent form leans the other way: only 3 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5.

Past meetings don't back this call, with just 2 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. A confidence of 98% means the recent numbers clearly point to Under 2.5. The match ended 3-0, so Under 2.5 didn't come in.

How we make our predictions →

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2.6
avg goals, Everton last 5
3.2
avg goals, Burnley last 5
60%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
7 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Everton
West Ham United 0-1 Everton
Oct 29, 2023
Under 2.5✓
Liverpool 2-0 Everton
Oct 21, 2023
Under 2.5✓
Everton 3-0 Bournemouth
Oct 07, 2023
Over 2.5✕
Everton 1-2 Luton Town
Sep 30, 2023
Over 2.5✕
Brentford 1-3 Everton
Sep 23, 2023
Over 2.5✕
Burnley
Bournemouth 2-1 Burnley
Oct 28, 2023
Over 2.5✕
Brentford 3-0 Burnley
Oct 21, 2023
Over 2.5✕
Burnley 1-4 Chelsea
Oct 07, 2023
Over 2.5✕
Luton Town 1-2 Burnley
Oct 03, 2023
Over 2.5✕
Newcastle 2-0 Burnley
Sep 30, 2023
Under 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Everton vs Burnley, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Apr 06, 2022BurnleyEverton3-2
Over 2.5✕
Sep 13, 2021EvertonBurnley3-1
Over 2.5✕
Mar 13, 2021EvertonBurnley1-2
Over 2.5✕
Dec 05, 2020BurnleyEverton1-1
Under 2.5✓
Dec 26, 2019EvertonBurnley1-0
Under 2.5✓