Sweden vs Estonia Prediction

Our pick for Sweden vs Estonia in European Championship is Under 2.5 goals, with 71% confidence. Recent form: 3 of Sweden's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (3.2 goals per game in total), against 3 of 5 for Estonia (3.4 per game). Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 4 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 0 of their last 1 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 71%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 2-0. The pick won.

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