Deportivo Pasto vs Atletico Nacional Medellin Prediction

Our pick for Deportivo Pasto vs Atletico Nacional Medellin in Categoría Primera A is Under 2.5 goals, with 97% confidence. Recent form: 3 of Deportivo Pasto's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (4.0 goals per game in total), against 2 of 5 for Atletico Nacional Medellin (2.6 per game). Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 0 of their last 1 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 97%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 2-0. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →