Home/England Tips/Newcastle vs Chelsea
Premier LeagueSaturday, 25 November 2023 · Full-time4-1✕
NEW

Newcastle

VS
CHE

Chelsea

Newcastle vs Chelsea Prediction

Under2.5 goals
74% confidence

Why we picked this for Newcastle vs Chelsea

Our pick for Newcastle vs Chelsea in Premier League is Under 2.5 goals, with 74% confidence. Recent form: 1 of Newcastle's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.0 goals per game in total), against 4 of 5 for Chelsea (4.8 per game). Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

Previous meetings agree, with 4 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. At 74%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 4-1. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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2.0
avg goals, Newcastle last 5
4.8
avg goals, Chelsea last 5
20%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Newcastle
Bournemouth 2-0 Newcastle
Nov 11, 2023
Under 2.5✓
Borussia Dortmund 2-0 Newcastle
Nov 07, 2023
Under 2.5✓
Newcastle 1-0 Arsenal
Nov 04, 2023
Under 2.5✓
Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-2 Newcastle
Oct 28, 2023
Over 2.5✕
Newcastle 0-1 Borussia Dortmund
Oct 25, 2023
Under 2.5✓
Chelsea
Chelsea 4-4 Manchester City
Nov 12, 2023
Over 2.5✕
Tottenham Hotspur 1-4 Chelsea
Nov 06, 2023
Over 2.5✕
Chelsea 0-2 Brentford
Oct 28, 2023
Under 2.5✓
Chelsea 2-2 Arsenal
Oct 21, 2023
Over 2.5✕
Burnley 1-4 Chelsea
Oct 07, 2023
Over 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Newcastle vs Chelsea, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
May 28, 2023ChelseaNewcastle1-1
Under 2.5✓
Nov 12, 2022NewcastleChelsea1-0
Under 2.5✓
Mar 13, 2022ChelseaNewcastle1-0
Under 2.5✓
Oct 30, 2021NewcastleChelsea0-3
Over 2.5✕
Feb 15, 2021ChelseaNewcastle2-0
Under 2.5✓