Home/England Tips/Middlesbrough vs Chelsea
EFL TrophyTuesday, 09 January 2024 · Full-time1-0✓
MID

Middlesbrough

VS
CHE

Chelsea

Middlesbrough vs Chelsea Prediction

Under2.5 goals
93% confidence

Why we picked this for Middlesbrough vs Chelsea

Under 2.5 goals is our call for Middlesbrough against Chelsea (EFL Trophy), rated at 93% confidence. Matches involving Middlesbrough produced 2.0 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Chelsea it is 3.4 goals per game, with 4 of 5 over 2.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 4 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

The head-to-head points the same way: 1 of their last 1 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. At 93%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 1-0. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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2.0
avg goals, Middlesbrough last 5
3.4
avg goals, Chelsea last 5
0%
last 1 H2H went over 2.5
6 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough 0-1 Aston Villa
Jan 06, 2024
Under 2.5✓
Middlesbrough 1-3 Coventry City
Jan 01, 2024
Over 2.5✕
Huddersfield 1-2 Middlesbrough
Dec 29, 2023
Over 2.5✕
Rotherham United 1-0 Middlesbrough
Dec 26, 2023
Under 2.5✓
Middlesbrough 1-0 West Bromwich Albion
Dec 23, 2023
Under 2.5✓
Chelsea
Chelsea 4-0 Preston North End
Jan 06, 2024
Over 2.5✕
Luton Town 2-3 Chelsea
Dec 30, 2023
Over 2.5✕
Chelsea 2-1 Crystal Palace
Dec 27, 2023
Over 2.5✕
Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-1 Chelsea
Dec 24, 2023
Over 2.5✕
Chelsea 2-0 Sheffield United
Dec 16, 2023
Under 2.5✓

Last meeting

Middlesbrough vs Chelsea, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Mar 19, 2022MiddlesbroughChelsea0-2
Under 2.5✓