Home/England Tips/Chelsea vs Middlesbrough
EFL TrophyTuesday, 23 January 2024 · Full-time6-1✕
CHE

Chelsea

VS
MID

Middlesbrough

Chelsea vs Middlesbrough Prediction

Under2.5 goals
67% confidence

Why we picked this for Chelsea vs Middlesbrough

For this EFL Trophy fixture we go with Under 2.5 goals for Chelsea vs Middlesbrough, at 67% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Chelsea's games produced 3.2 goals on average, 4 of them over 2.5. Middlesbrough's games averaged 2.8, with 3 of 5 over the line. Recent form leans the other way: only 3 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5.

History between the two sides fits the pick too: 1 of 1 recent meetings went under 2.5. The 67% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 6-1, so Under 2.5 didn't come in.

How we make our predictions →

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3.2
avg goals, Chelsea last 5
2.8
avg goals, Middlesbrough last 5
0%
last 1 H2H went over 2.5
7 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Chelsea
Chelsea 1-0 Fulham
Jan 13, 2024
Under 2.5✓
Chelsea 4-0 Preston North End
Jan 06, 2024
Over 2.5✕
Luton Town 2-3 Chelsea
Dec 30, 2023
Over 2.5✕
Chelsea 2-1 Crystal Palace
Dec 27, 2023
Over 2.5✕
Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-1 Chelsea
Dec 24, 2023
Over 2.5✕
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough 1-1 Rotherham United
Jan 20, 2024
Under 2.5✓
Millwall 1-3 Middlesbrough
Jan 13, 2024
Over 2.5✕
Middlesbrough 0-1 Aston Villa
Jan 06, 2024
Under 2.5✓
Middlesbrough 1-3 Coventry City
Jan 01, 2024
Over 2.5✕
Huddersfield 1-2 Middlesbrough
Dec 29, 2023
Over 2.5✕

Last meeting

Chelsea vs Middlesbrough, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Mar 19, 2022MiddlesbroughChelsea0-2
Under 2.5✓