Home/England Tips/Liverpool vs Chelsea
Premier LeagueWednesday, 31 January 2024 · Full-time4-1✕
LIV

Liverpool

VS
CHE

Chelsea

Liverpool vs Chelsea Prediction

Under2.5 goals
82% confidence

Why we picked this for Liverpool vs Chelsea

For this Premier League fixture we go with Under 2.5 goals for Liverpool vs Chelsea, at 82% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Liverpool's games produced 4.2 goals on average, 3 of them over 2.5. Chelsea's games averaged 2.6, with 3 of 5 over the line. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 4 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

History between the two sides fits the pick too: 4 of 5 recent meetings went under 2.5. At 82%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 4-1. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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4.2
avg goals, Liverpool last 5
2.6
avg goals, Chelsea last 5
20%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
6 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Liverpool
Liverpool 5-2 Norwich
Jan 28, 2024
Over 2.5✕
Bournemouth 0-4 Liverpool
Jan 21, 2024
Over 2.5✕
Arsenal 0-2 Liverpool
Jan 07, 2024
Under 2.5✓
Liverpool 4-2 Newcastle
Jan 01, 2024
Over 2.5✕
Burnley 0-2 Liverpool
Dec 26, 2023
Under 2.5✓
Chelsea
Chelsea 0-0 Aston Villa
Jan 26, 2024
Under 2.5✓
Chelsea 1-0 Fulham
Jan 13, 2024
Under 2.5✓
Chelsea 4-0 Preston North End
Jan 06, 2024
Over 2.5✕
Luton Town 2-3 Chelsea
Dec 30, 2023
Over 2.5✕
Chelsea 2-1 Crystal Palace
Dec 27, 2023
Over 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Liverpool vs Chelsea, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Aug 13, 2023ChelseaLiverpool1-1
Under 2.5✓
Apr 04, 2023ChelseaLiverpool0-0
Under 2.5✓
Jan 21, 2023LiverpoolChelsea0-0
Under 2.5✓
May 14, 2022ChelseaLiverpool0-0
Under 2.5✓
Jan 02, 2022ChelseaLiverpool2-2
Over 2.5✕