Home/Italy Tips/Atalanta vs Lazio
Serie ASunday, 04 February 2024 · Full-time3-1✓
ATA

Atalanta

VS
LAZ

Lazio

Atalanta vs Lazio Prediction

Over2.5 goals
58% confidence

Why we picked this for Atalanta vs Lazio

Over 2.5 goals is our call for Atalanta against Lazio (Serie A), rated at 58% confidence. Matches involving Atalanta produced 3.2 goals per game over their last 5, and 3 of those went over 2.5. For Lazio it is 1.8 goals per game, with 2 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form is split here (5 of 10 games went over 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.

Past meetings don't back this call, with just 2 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. The 58% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 3-1, so Over 2.5 landed.

How we make our predictions →

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3.2
avg goals, Atalanta last 5
1.8
avg goals, Lazio last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Atalanta
Atalanta 2-0 Udinese Calcio
Jan 27, 2024
Under 2.5✕
Atalanta 5-0 Frosinone Calcio
Jan 15, 2024
Over 2.5✓
AC Milan 1-2 Atalanta
Jan 10, 2024
Over 2.5✓
Roma 1-1 Atalanta
Jan 07, 2024
Under 2.5✕
Atalanta 3-1 Sassuolo
Jan 03, 2024
Over 2.5✓
Lazio
Lazio 0-0 Napoli
Jan 28, 2024
Under 2.5✕
Lazio 1-0 Lecce
Jan 14, 2024
Under 2.5✕
Lazio 1-0 Roma
Jan 10, 2024
Under 2.5✕
Udinese Calcio 1-2 Lazio
Jan 07, 2024
Over 2.5✓
Lazio 3-1 Frosinone Calcio
Dec 29, 2023
Over 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Atalanta vs Lazio, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Oct 08, 2023LazioAtalanta3-2
Over 2.5✓
Feb 11, 2023LazioAtalanta0-2
Under 2.5✕
Oct 23, 2022AtalantaLazio0-2
Under 2.5✕
Jan 22, 2022LazioAtalanta0-0
Under 2.5✕
Oct 30, 2021AtalantaLazio2-2
Over 2.5✓