Chelsea
Newcastle
Chelsea vs Newcastle Prediction
Why we picked this for Chelsea vs Newcastle
For this Premier League fixture we go with Over 2.5 goals for Chelsea vs Newcastle, at 74% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Chelsea's games produced 3.8 goals on average, 4 of them over 2.5. Newcastle's games averaged 3.8, with 4 of 5 over the line. Current form is what points us towards Over 2.5.
The head-to-head points the other way: only 2 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 74%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 3-2. The pick won.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Chelsea vs Newcastle, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2023 | Newcastle | Chelsea | 4-1 | Over 2.5✓ |
| May 28, 2023 | Chelsea | Newcastle | 1-1 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Nov 12, 2022 | Newcastle | Chelsea | 1-0 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Mar 13, 2022 | Chelsea | Newcastle | 1-0 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Oct 30, 2021 | Newcastle | Chelsea | 0-3 | Over 2.5✓ |