Home/England Tips/Portsmouth vs Derby County
League OneTuesday, 02 April 2024 · Full-time2-2✕
POR

Portsmouth

VS
DER

Derby County

Portsmouth vs Derby County Prediction

Under2.5 goals
80% confidence

Why we picked this for Portsmouth vs Derby County

Our pick for Portsmouth vs Derby County in League One is Under 2.5 goals, with 80% confidence. Recent form: 3 of Portsmouth's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.2 goals per game in total), against 2 of 5 for Derby County (1.8 per game). Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

Previous meetings agree, with 3 of the last 3 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. At 80%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 2-2. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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2.2
avg goals, Portsmouth last 5
1.8
avg goals, Derby County last 5
0%
last 3 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Portsmouth
Wycombe Wanderers 1-3 Portsmouth
Mar 29, 2024
Over 2.5✕
Peterborough United 0-1 Portsmouth
Mar 16, 2024
Under 2.5✓
Portsmouth 2-1 Burton Albion
Mar 12, 2024
Over 2.5✕
Blackpool 0-0 Portsmouth
Mar 09, 2024
Under 2.5✓
Portsmouth 2-1 Oxford United
Mar 02, 2024
Over 2.5✕
Derby County
Derby County 1-0 Blackpool
Mar 29, 2024
Under 2.5✓
Northampton 1-0 Derby County
Mar 23, 2024
Under 2.5✓
Derby County 1-0 Bolton
Mar 16, 2024
Under 2.5✓
Derby County 2-1 Reading
Mar 12, 2024
Over 2.5✕
Bristol Rovers 0-3 Derby County
Mar 09, 2024
Over 2.5✕

Last 3 meetings

Portsmouth vs Derby County, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Sep 16, 2023Derby CountyPortsmouth1-1
Under 2.5✓
Apr 29, 2023Derby CountyPortsmouth1-1
Under 2.5✓
Nov 18, 2022PortsmouthDerby County0-0
Under 2.5✓