Benfica
Sporting Lisbon
Benfica vs Sporting Lisbon Prediction
Why we picked this for Benfica vs Sporting Lisbon
Our pick for Benfica vs Sporting Lisbon in Portuguese Cup is Under 2.5 goals, with 68% confidence. Recent form: 2 of Benfica's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.2 goals per game in total), against 4 of 5 for Sporting Lisbon (3.6 per game). Recent form is split here (4 of 10 games went under 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.
Past meetings don't back this call, with just 1 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. The 68% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 2-2, so Under 2.5 didn't come in.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Benfica vs Sporting Lisbon, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2023 | Benfica | Sporting Lisbon | 2-1 | Over 2.5✕ |
| May 21, 2023 | Sporting Lisbon | Benfica | 2-2 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Jan 15, 2023 | Benfica | Sporting Lisbon | 2-2 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Apr 17, 2022 | Sporting Lisbon | Benfica | 0-2 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Jan 29, 2022 | Benfica | Sporting Lisbon | 1-2 | Over 2.5✕ |