Home/Germany Tips/Freiburg vs Mainz 05
BundesligaSunday, 21 April 2024 · Full-time1-1✓
FRE

Freiburg

VS
MAI

Mainz 05

Freiburg vs Mainz 05 Prediction

Under2.5 goals
81% confidence

Why we picked this for Freiburg vs Mainz 05

Under 2.5 goals is our call for Freiburg against Mainz 05 (Bundesliga), rated at 81% confidence. Matches involving Freiburg produced 3.8 goals per game over their last 5, and 4 of those went over 2.5. For Mainz 05 it is 4.0 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form leans the other way: only 3 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5.

The head-to-head points the same way: 4 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. At 81%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 1-1. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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3.8
avg goals, Freiburg last 5
4.0
avg goals, Mainz 05 last 5
20%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
7 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Freiburg
Darmstadt 98 0-1 Freiburg
Apr 14, 2024
Under 2.5✓
Freiburg 1-4 RB Leipzig
Apr 06, 2024
Over 2.5✕
Monchengladbach 0-3 Freiburg
Mar 30, 2024
Over 2.5✕
Freiburg 2-3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Mar 17, 2024
Over 2.5✕
West Ham United 5-0 Freiburg
Mar 14, 2024
Over 2.5✕
Mainz 05
Mainz 05 4-1 TSG Hoffenheim
Apr 13, 2024
Over 2.5✕
Mainz 05 4-0 Darmstadt 98
Apr 06, 2024
Over 2.5✕
RB Leipzig 0-0 Mainz 05
Mar 30, 2024
Under 2.5✓
Mainz 05 2-0 VfL Bochum
Mar 16, 2024
Under 2.5✓
Bayern Munich 8-1 Mainz 05
Mar 09, 2024
Over 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Freiburg vs Mainz 05, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Dec 03, 2023Mainz 05Freiburg0-1
Under 2.5✓
Mar 19, 2023Mainz 05Freiburg1-1
Under 2.5✓
Oct 01, 2022FreiburgMainz 052-1
Over 2.5✕
Feb 12, 2022FreiburgMainz 051-1
Under 2.5✓
Sep 18, 2021Mainz 05Freiburg0-0
Under 2.5✓