Aston Villa
Chelsea
Aston Villa vs Chelsea Prediction
Why we picked this for Aston Villa vs Chelsea
Over 2.5 goals is our call for Aston Villa against Chelsea (Premier League), rated at 66% confidence. Matches involving Aston Villa produced 3.6 goals per game over their last 5, and 4 of those went over 2.5. For Chelsea it is 4.6 goals per game, with 4 of 5 over 2.5. The form of both teams backs the call.
The head-to-head points the other way: only 1 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 66%, the recent numbers lean this way, but not strongly. Final score: 2-2. The pick won.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Aston Villa vs Chelsea, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 07, 2024 | Aston Villa | Chelsea | 1-3 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Jan 26, 2024 | Chelsea | Aston Villa | 0-0 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Chelsea | Aston Villa | 0-1 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Apr 01, 2023 | Chelsea | Aston Villa | 0-2 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Oct 16, 2022 | Aston Villa | Chelsea | 0-2 | Under 2.5✕ |