Home/England Tips/Southampton vs Stoke City
ChampionshipSaturday, 27 April 2024 · Full-time0-1✓
SOU

Southampton

VS
STO

Stoke City

Southampton vs Stoke City Prediction

Under2.5 goals
85% confidence

Why we picked this for Southampton vs Stoke City

Under 2.5 goals is our call for Southampton against Stoke City (Championship), rated at 85% confidence. Matches involving Southampton produced 3.8 goals per game over their last 5, and 5 of those went over 2.5. For Stoke City it is 2.8 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form leans the other way: only 2 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5.

The head-to-head points the same way: 2 of their last 3 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. At 85%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 0-1. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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3.8
avg goals, Southampton last 5
2.8
avg goals, Stoke City last 5
33%
last 3 H2H went over 2.5
8 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Southampton
Leicester City 5-0 Southampton
Apr 23, 2024
Over 2.5✕
Cardiff City 2-1 Southampton
Apr 20, 2024
Over 2.5✕
Southampton 3-0 Preston North End
Apr 16, 2024
Over 2.5✕
Southampton 3-2 Watford
Apr 13, 2024
Over 2.5✕
Southampton 2-1 Coventry City
Apr 09, 2024
Over 2.5✕
Stoke City
Stoke City 3-0 Plymouth
Apr 20, 2024
Over 2.5✕
Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 Stoke City
Apr 13, 2024
Under 2.5✓
Swansea 3-0 Stoke City
Apr 10, 2024
Over 2.5✕
Stoke City 2-2 West Bromwich Albion
Apr 06, 2024
Over 2.5✕
Stoke City 1-1 Huddersfield
Apr 01, 2024
Under 2.5✓

Last 3 meetings

Southampton vs Stoke City, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Oct 03, 2023Stoke CitySouthampton0-1
Under 2.5✓
Mar 03, 2018SouthamptonStoke City0-0
Under 2.5✓
Sep 30, 2017Stoke CitySouthampton2-1
Over 2.5✕