Home/England Tips/Bournemouth vs Brighton
Premier LeagueSunday, 28 April 2024 · Full-time3-0✓
BOU

Bournemouth

VS
BRI

Brighton

Bournemouth vs Brighton Prediction

Over2.5 goals
72% confidence

Why we picked this for Bournemouth vs Brighton

Our pick for Bournemouth vs Brighton in Premier League is Over 2.5 goals, with 72% confidence. Recent form: 3 of Bournemouth's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.6 goals per game in total), against 3 of 5 for Brighton (2.4 per game). That recent scoring pattern is the main reason behind the pick.

Past meetings don't back this call, with just 2 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. A confidence of 72% means the recent numbers clearly point to Over 2.5. The match ended 3-0, so Over 2.5 landed.

How we make our predictions →

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2.6
avg goals, Bournemouth last 5
2.4
avg goals, Brighton last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
6 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Bournemouth
Wolverhampton Wanderers 0-1 Bournemouth
Apr 24, 2024
Under 2.5✕
Aston Villa 3-1 Bournemouth
Apr 21, 2024
Over 2.5✓
Bournemouth 2-2 Manchester United
Apr 13, 2024
Over 2.5✓
Luton Town 2-1 Bournemouth
Apr 06, 2024
Over 2.5✓
Bournemouth 1-0 Crystal Palace
Apr 02, 2024
Under 2.5✕
Brighton
Brighton 0-4 Manchester City
Apr 25, 2024
Over 2.5✓
Burnley 1-1 Brighton
Apr 13, 2024
Under 2.5✕
Brighton 0-3 Arsenal
Apr 06, 2024
Over 2.5✓
Brentford 0-0 Brighton
Apr 03, 2024
Under 2.5✕
Liverpool 2-1 Brighton
Mar 31, 2024
Over 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Bournemouth vs Brighton, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Sep 24, 2023BrightonBournemouth3-1
Over 2.5✓
Apr 04, 2023BournemouthBrighton0-2
Under 2.5✕
Feb 04, 2023BrightonBournemouth1-0
Under 2.5✕
Jan 21, 2020BournemouthBrighton3-1
Over 2.5✓
Dec 28, 2019BrightonBournemouth2-0
Under 2.5✕