Deportivo Maldonado vs CA Cerro Prediction

Our pick for Deportivo Maldonado vs CA Cerro in Primera Division is Under 2.5 goals, with 67% confidence. Recent form: 3 of Deportivo Maldonado's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.6 goals per game in total), against 3 of 5 for CA Cerro (2.4 per game). Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 4 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 1 of their last 3 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 67%, the recent numbers lean this way, but not strongly. Final score: 3-0. The pick lost.

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