Metropolitanos vs Deportivo La Guaira Prediction

For this Primera Division fixture we go with Under 2.5 goals for Metropolitanos vs Deportivo La Guaira, at 95% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Metropolitanos's games produced 2.0 goals on average, 2 of them over 2.5. Deportivo La Guaira's games averaged 2.6, with 3 of 5 over the line. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 1 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 95%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 2-1. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →