Home/Brazil Tips/Gremio vs Palmeiras
Serie AThursday, 04 July 2024 · Full-time2-2✓
GRE

Gremio

VS
PAL

Palmeiras

Gremio vs Palmeiras Prediction

Over2.5 goals
57% confidence

Why we picked this for Gremio vs Palmeiras

Our pick for Gremio vs Palmeiras in Serie A is Over 2.5 goals, with 57% confidence. Recent form: 1 of Gremio's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (1.6 goals per game in total), against 4 of 5 for Palmeiras (3.2 per game). Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Over 2.5.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 2 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 57%, the recent numbers lean this way, but not strongly. Final score: 2-2. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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1.6
avg goals, Gremio last 5
3.2
avg goals, Palmeiras last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Gremio
Gremio 1-0 Fluminense RJ
Jun 30, 2024
Under 2.5✕
Atletico GO 1-1 Gremio
Jun 27, 2024
Under 2.5✕
Gremio 0-1 Internacional RS
Jun 22, 2024
Under 2.5✕
Fortaleza 1-0 Gremio
Jun 20, 2024
Under 2.5✕
Gremio 1-2 Botafogo RJ
Jun 16, 2024
Over 2.5✓
Palmeiras
Palmeiras 2-0 Corinthians
Jul 02, 2024
Under 2.5✕
Fortaleza 3-0 Palmeiras
Jun 27, 2024
Over 2.5✓
Palmeiras 3-1 Juventude RS
Jun 23, 2024
Over 2.5✓
Palmeiras 2-1 Bragantino
Jun 21, 2024
Over 2.5✓
Atletico MG 0-4 Palmeiras
Jun 18, 2024
Over 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Gremio vs Palmeiras, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Sep 22, 2023GremioPalmeiras1-0
Under 2.5✕
May 11, 2023PalmeirasGremio4-1
Over 2.5✓
Oct 31, 2021GremioPalmeiras1-3
Over 2.5✓
Jul 08, 2021PalmeirasGremio2-0
Under 2.5✕
Mar 07, 2021PalmeirasGremio2-0
Under 2.5✕