Home/Brazil Tips/Atletico MG vs Corinthians
Serie ASunday, 28 July 2024 · Full-time2-1✕
ATL

Atletico MG

VS
COR

Corinthians

Atletico MG vs Corinthians Prediction

Under2.5 goals
85% confidence

Why we picked this for Atletico MG vs Corinthians

Under 2.5 goals is our call for Atletico MG against Corinthians (Serie A), rated at 85% confidence. Matches involving Atletico MG produced 3.2 goals per game over their last 5, and 3 of those went over 2.5. For Corinthians it is 2.6 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 4 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

The head-to-head points the same way: 5 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. At 85%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 2-1. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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3.2
avg goals, Atletico MG last 5
2.6
avg goals, Corinthians last 5
0%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
6 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Atletico MG
Atletico MG 2-0 Vasco da Gama
Jul 21, 2024
Under 2.5✓
Juventude RS 1-1 Atletico MG
Jul 17, 2024
Under 2.5✓
Atletico MG 2-1 Sao Paulo SP
Jul 12, 2024
Over 2.5✕
Botafogo RJ 3-0 Atletico MG
Jul 08, 2024
Over 2.5✕
Atletico MG 2-4 Flamengo
Jul 04, 2024
Over 2.5✕
Corinthians
Corinthians 2-2 Gremio
Jul 26, 2024
Over 2.5✕
Bahia 0-1 Corinthians
Jul 21, 2024
Under 2.5✓
Corinthians 2-1 Criciuma EC
Jul 17, 2024
Over 2.5✕
Vasco da Gama 2-0 Corinthians
Jul 11, 2024
Under 2.5✓
Cruzeiro MG 3-0 Corinthians
Jul 07, 2024
Over 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Atletico MG vs Corinthians, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Apr 14, 2024CorinthiansAtletico MG0-0
Under 2.5✓
Nov 09, 2023CorinthiansAtletico MG1-1
Under 2.5✓
Jul 08, 2023Atletico MGCorinthians0-1
Under 2.5✓
Jun 01, 2023CorinthiansAtletico MG1-0
Under 2.5✓
May 18, 2023Atletico MGCorinthians2-0
Under 2.5✓