Home/England Tips/Middlesbrough vs Stoke City
EFL TrophyTuesday, 27 August 2024 · Full-time0-5✕
MID

Middlesbrough

VS
STO

Stoke City

Middlesbrough vs Stoke City Prediction

Under2.5 goals
63% confidence

Why we picked this for Middlesbrough vs Stoke City

Our pick for Middlesbrough vs Stoke City in EFL Trophy is Under 2.5 goals, with 63% confidence. Recent form: 3 of Middlesbrough's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (3.0 goals per game in total), against 3 of 5 for Stoke City (2.4 per game). Recent form is split here (4 of 10 games went under 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.

Previous meetings agree, with 3 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. The 63% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 0-5, so Under 2.5 didn't come in.

How we make our predictions →

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3.0
avg goals, Middlesbrough last 5
2.4
avg goals, Stoke City last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
6 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough 2-2 Portsmouth
Aug 24, 2024
Over 2.5✕
Derby County 1-0 Middlesbrough
Aug 17, 2024
Under 2.5✓
Middlesbrough 1-0 Swansea
Aug 10, 2024
Under 2.5✓
Middlesbrough 3-1 Watford
May 04, 2024
Over 2.5✕
Cardiff City 1-4 Middlesbrough
Apr 27, 2024
Over 2.5✕
Stoke City
Stoke City 1-2 West Bromwich Albion
Aug 24, 2024
Over 2.5✕
Watford 3-0 Stoke City
Aug 17, 2024
Over 2.5✕
Stoke City 1-0 Coventry City
Aug 10, 2024
Under 2.5✓
Stoke City 4-0 Bristol City
May 04, 2024
Over 2.5✕
Southampton 0-1 Stoke City
Apr 27, 2024
Under 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Middlesbrough vs Stoke City, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Mar 02, 2024Stoke CityMiddlesbrough2-0
Under 2.5✓
Oct 28, 2023MiddlesbroughStoke City0-2
Under 2.5✓
Mar 14, 2023MiddlesbroughStoke City1-1
Under 2.5✓
Aug 17, 2022Stoke CityMiddlesbrough2-2
Over 2.5✕
Apr 30, 2022MiddlesbroughStoke City3-1
Over 2.5✕