Home/UEFA Tips/Sweden vs Estonia
Nations LeagueSunday, 08 September 2024 · Full-time3-0✓
SWE

Sweden

VS
EST

Estonia

Sweden vs Estonia Prediction

Over2.5 goals
85% confidence

Why we picked this for Sweden vs Estonia

Over 2.5 goals is our call for Sweden against Estonia (Nations League), rated at 85% confidence. Matches involving Sweden produced 3.0 goals per game over their last 5, and 3 of those went over 2.5. For Estonia it is 2.6 goals per game, with 1 of 5 over 2.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 4 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Over 2.5.

Past meetings don't decide it either way, with 1 of the last 2 ending over 2.5. At 85%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 3-0. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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3.0
avg goals, Sweden last 5
2.6
avg goals, Estonia last 5
50%
last 2 H2H went over 2.5
4 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Sweden
Azerbaijan 1-3 Sweden
Sep 05, 2024
Over 2.5✓
Sweden 2-0 Estonia
Nov 19, 2023
Under 2.5✕
Azerbaijan 3-0 Sweden
Nov 16, 2023
Over 2.5✓
Belgium 1-1 Sweden
Oct 16, 2023
Under 2.5✕
Sweden 1-3 Austria
Sep 12, 2023
Over 2.5✓
Estonia
Estonia 0-1 Slovakia
Sep 05, 2024
Under 2.5✕
Poland 5-1 Estonia
Mar 21, 2024
Over 2.5✓
Sweden 2-0 Estonia
Nov 19, 2023
Under 2.5✕
Estonia 0-2 Austria
Nov 16, 2023
Under 2.5✕
Estonia 0-2 Azerbaijan
Oct 13, 2023
Under 2.5✕

Last 2 meetings

Sweden vs Estonia, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Nov 19, 2023SwedenEstonia2-0
Under 2.5✕
Sep 09, 2023EstoniaSweden0-5
Over 2.5✓