Home/France Tips/Lyon vs Marseille
Ligue 1Sunday, 22 September 2024 · Full-time2-3✕
LYO

Lyon

VS
MAR

Marseille

Lyon vs Marseille Prediction

Under2.5 goals
59% confidence

Why we picked this for Lyon vs Marseille

Under 2.5 goals is our call for Lyon against Marseille (Ligue 1), rated at 59% confidence. Matches involving Lyon produced 3.0 goals per game over their last 5, and 3 of those went over 2.5. For Marseille it is 3.8 goals per game, with 4 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form leans the other way: only 3 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 2 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 59%, the recent numbers lean this way, but not strongly. Final score: 2-3. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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3.0
avg goals, Lyon last 5
3.8
avg goals, Marseille last 5
60%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
7 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Lyon
Lens 0-0 Lyon
Sep 15, 2024
Under 2.5✓
Lyon 4-3 Strasbourg
Aug 30, 2024
Over 2.5✕
Lyon 0-2 AS Monaco
Aug 24, 2024
Under 2.5✓
Stade Rennais 3-0 Lyon
Aug 18, 2024
Over 2.5✕
Lyon 2-1 Strasbourg
May 19, 2024
Over 2.5✕
Marseille
Marseille 2-0 Nice
Sep 14, 2024
Under 2.5✓
Toulouse 1-3 Marseille
Aug 31, 2024
Over 2.5✕
Marseille 2-2 Reims
Aug 25, 2024
Over 2.5✕
Stade Brestois 29 1-5 Marseille
Aug 17, 2024
Over 2.5✕
Le Havre 1-2 Marseille
May 19, 2024
Over 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Lyon vs Marseille, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Feb 04, 2024LyonMarseille1-0
Under 2.5✓
Dec 06, 2023MarseilleLyon3-0
Over 2.5✕
Apr 23, 2023LyonMarseille1-2
Over 2.5✕
Nov 06, 2022MarseilleLyon1-0
Under 2.5✓
May 01, 2022MarseilleLyon0-3
Over 2.5✕