Manchester City
Arsenal
Manchester City vs Arsenal Prediction
Why we picked this for Manchester City vs Arsenal
For this Premier League fixture we go with Over 2.5 goals for Manchester City vs Arsenal, at 78% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Manchester City's games produced 2.8 goals on average, 3 of them over 2.5. Arsenal's games averaged 1.4, with 0 of 5 over the line. Recent form leans the other way: only 3 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5.
Past meetings don't back this call, with just 2 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. A confidence of 78% means the recent numbers clearly point to Over 2.5. The match ended 2-2, so Over 2.5 landed.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Manchester City vs Arsenal, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2024 | Manchester City | Arsenal | 0-0 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Oct 08, 2023 | Arsenal | Manchester City | 1-0 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Apr 26, 2023 | Manchester City | Arsenal | 4-1 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Feb 15, 2023 | Arsenal | Manchester City | 1-3 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Jan 27, 2023 | Manchester City | Arsenal | 1-0 | Under 2.5✕ |