Newcastle
Manchester City
Newcastle vs Manchester City Prediction
Why we picked this for Newcastle vs Manchester City
Our pick for Newcastle vs Manchester City in Premier League is Over 2.5 goals, with 82% confidence. Recent form: 3 of Newcastle's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.6 goals per game in total), against 4 of 5 for Manchester City (3.2 per game). That recent scoring pattern is the main reason behind the pick.
Past meetings don't back this call, with just 2 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. A confidence of 82% means the recent numbers clearly point to Over 2.5. The match ended 1-1, so Over 2.5 didn't come in.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Newcastle vs Manchester City, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | Manchester City | Newcastle | 2-0 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Newcastle | Manchester City | 2-3 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Manchester City | Newcastle | 1-0 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Mar 04, 2023 | Manchester City | Newcastle | 2-0 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Aug 21, 2022 | Newcastle | Manchester City | 3-3 | Over 2.5✓ |