Home/Spain Tips/Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid
Primera DivisionSunday, 29 September 2024 · Full-time1-1✕
ATL

Atletico Madrid

VS
REA

Real Madrid

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Prediction

Over2.5 goals
53% confidence

Why we picked this for Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid

Over 2.5 goals is our call for Atletico Madrid against Real Madrid (Primera Division), rated at 53% confidence. Matches involving Atletico Madrid produced 2.0 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Real Madrid it is 3.6 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form is split here (5 of 10 games went over 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.

The head-to-head points the same way: 3 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. At 53%, the recent numbers are close to even, so this is one of our weaker picks; treat it with caution. The match ended 1-1, so Over 2.5 didn't come in.

How we make our predictions →

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2.0
avg goals, Atletico Madrid last 5
3.6
avg goals, Real Madrid last 5
60%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo 0-1 Atletico Madrid
Sep 26, 2024
Under 2.5✕
Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Atletico Madrid
Sep 22, 2024
Under 2.5✕
Atletico Madrid 2-1 RB Leipzig
Sep 19, 2024
Over 2.5✓
Atletico Madrid 3-0 Valencia
Sep 15, 2024
Over 2.5✓
Athletic Bilbao 0-1 Atletico Madrid
Aug 31, 2024
Under 2.5✕
Real Madrid
Real Madrid 3-2 Deportivo Alaves
Sep 24, 2024
Over 2.5✓
Real Madrid 4-1 Espanyol
Sep 21, 2024
Over 2.5✓
Real Madrid 3-1 Stuttgart
Sep 17, 2024
Over 2.5✓
Real Sociedad 0-2 Real Madrid
Sep 14, 2024
Under 2.5✕
Real Madrid 2-0 Betis
Sep 01, 2024
Under 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Feb 04, 2024Real MadridAtletico Madrid1-1
Under 2.5✕
Jan 18, 2024Atletico MadridReal Madrid2-2
Over 2.5✓
Jan 10, 2024Real MadridAtletico Madrid3-3
Over 2.5✓
Sep 24, 2023Atletico MadridReal Madrid3-1
Over 2.5✓
Feb 25, 2023Real MadridAtletico Madrid1-1
Under 2.5✕