Home/Ecuador Tips/El Nacional vs Barcelona SC
Serie ASaturday, 05 October 2024 · Full-time3-0✓
EL

El Nacional

VS
BAR

Barcelona SC

El Nacional vs Barcelona SC Prediction

Over2.5 goals
55% confidence

Why we picked this for El Nacional vs Barcelona SC

Over 2.5 goals is our call for El Nacional against Barcelona SC (Serie A), rated at 55% confidence. Matches involving El Nacional produced 1.8 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Barcelona SC it is 1.6 goals per game, with 2 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form is split here (4 of 10 games went over 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.

Past meetings don't back this call, with just 2 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. The 55% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 3-0, so Over 2.5 landed.

How we make our predictions →

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1.8
avg goals, El Nacional last 5
1.6
avg goals, Barcelona SC last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
4 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

El Nacional
Imbabura 1-0 El Nacional
Sep 28, 2024
Under 2.5✕
LDU de Quito 1-1 El Nacional
Sep 21, 2024
Under 2.5✕
El Nacional 2-1 Cumbaya
Sep 15, 2024
Over 2.5✓
Deportivo Cuenca 1-2 El Nacional
Aug 31, 2024
Over 2.5✓
El Nacional 0-0 SD Aucas
Aug 24, 2024
Under 2.5✕
Barcelona SC
Barcelona SC 0-0 Libertad FC
Sep 30, 2024
Under 2.5✕
Deportivo Cuenca 1-0 Barcelona SC
Sep 22, 2024
Under 2.5✕
Barcelona SC 2-1 Macara
Sep 16, 2024
Over 2.5✓
LDU de Quito 3-0 Barcelona SC
Sep 01, 2024
Over 2.5✓
Barcelona SC 1-0 Universidad Catolica
Aug 26, 2024
Under 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

El Nacional vs Barcelona SC, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Apr 19, 2024Barcelona SCEl Nacional1-0
Under 2.5✕
Nov 06, 2023Barcelona SCEl Nacional3-2
Over 2.5✓
May 29, 2023El NacionalBarcelona SC4-1
Over 2.5✓
Nov 16, 2020El NacionalBarcelona SC1-1
Under 2.5✕
Oct 04, 2020Barcelona SCEl Nacional0-0
Under 2.5✕