Serie AWednesday, 09 October 2024 · Full-time2-1✓
ATL
Atletico MG
VS
GRE
Gremio
Atletico MG vs Gremio Prediction
Over2.5 goals
70% confidence
Why this pick
Why we picked this for Atletico MG vs Gremio
For this Serie A fixture we go with Over 2.5 goals for Atletico MG vs Gremio, at 70% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Atletico MG's games produced 2.6 goals on average, 3 of them over 2.5. Gremio's games averaged 3.2, with 4 of 5 over the line. Current form is what points us towards Over 2.5.
History between the two sides fits the pick too: 4 of 5 recent meetings went over 2.5. At 70%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 2-1. The pick won.
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2.6
avg goals, Atletico MG last 5
3.2
avg goals, Gremio last 5
80%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
7 / 10
combined form matches over
Current form
Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Atletico MG
Atletico MG 2-2 Vitoria BA
Over 2.5✓Oct 05, 2024
Palmeiras 2-1 Atletico MG
Over 2.5✓Sep 28, 2024
Atletico MG 2-0 Fluminense RJ
Under 2.5✕Sep 26, 2024
Atletico MG 3-0 Bragantino
Over 2.5✓Sep 22, 2024
Fluminense RJ 1-0 Atletico MG
Under 2.5✕Sep 19, 2024
Gremio
Gremio 3-1 Fortaleza
Over 2.5✓Oct 05, 2024
Botafogo RJ 0-0 Gremio
Under 2.5✕Sep 29, 2024
Gremio 1-2 Criciuma EC
Over 2.5✓Sep 26, 2024
Gremio 3-2 Flamengo
Over 2.5✓Sep 22, 2024
Bragantino 2-2 Gremio
Over 2.5✓Sep 15, 2024
Head to head
Last 5 meetings
Atletico MG vs Gremio, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 01, 2024 | Gremio | Atletico MG | 2-3 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Atletico MG | Gremio | 3-0 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Jul 23, 2023 | Gremio | Atletico MG | 1-0 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Dec 10, 2021 | Gremio | Atletico MG | 4-3 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Nov 04, 2021 | Atletico MG | Gremio | 2-1 | Over 2.5✓ |