Home/UEFA Tips/Estonia vs Azerbaijan
Nations LeagueFriday, 11 October 2024 · Full-time3-1✕
EST

Estonia

VS
AZE

Azerbaijan

Estonia vs Azerbaijan Prediction

Under2.5 goals
83% confidence

Why we picked this for Estonia vs Azerbaijan

Under 2.5 goals is our call for Estonia against Azerbaijan (Nations League), rated at 83% confidence. Matches involving Estonia produced 2.8 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Azerbaijan it is 3.0 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

The head-to-head points the same way: 2 of their last 2 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. At 83%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 3-1. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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2.8
avg goals, Estonia last 5
3.0
avg goals, Azerbaijan last 5
0%
last 2 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Estonia
Sweden 3-0 Estonia
Sep 08, 2024
Over 2.5✕
Estonia 0-1 Slovakia
Sep 05, 2024
Under 2.5✓
Poland 5-1 Estonia
Mar 21, 2024
Over 2.5✕
Sweden 2-0 Estonia
Nov 19, 2023
Under 2.5✓
Estonia 0-2 Austria
Nov 16, 2023
Under 2.5✓
Azerbaijan
Slovakia 2-0 Azerbaijan
Sep 08, 2024
Under 2.5✓
Azerbaijan 1-3 Sweden
Sep 05, 2024
Over 2.5✕
Belgium 5-0 Azerbaijan
Nov 19, 2023
Over 2.5✕
Azerbaijan 3-0 Sweden
Nov 16, 2023
Over 2.5✕
Azerbaijan 0-1 Austria
Oct 16, 2023
Under 2.5✓

Last 2 meetings

Estonia vs Azerbaijan, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Oct 13, 2023EstoniaAzerbaijan0-2
Under 2.5✓
Jun 17, 2023AzerbaijanEstonia1-1
Under 2.5✓