Wales vs Montenegro Prediction

For this Nations League fixture we go with Under 2.5 goals for Wales vs Montenegro, at 57% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Wales's games produced 2.4 goals on average, 3 of them over 2.5. Montenegro's games averaged 2.4, with 2 of 5 over the line. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 1 of their last 3 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 57%, the recent numbers lean this way, but not strongly. Final score: 1-0. The pick won.

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