Home/France Tips/Montpellier vs Marseille
Ligue 1Sunday, 20 October 2024 · Full-time0-5✓
MON

Montpellier

VS
MAR

Marseille

Montpellier vs Marseille Prediction

Over2.5 goals
56% confidence

Why we picked this for Montpellier vs Marseille

Over 2.5 goals is our call for Montpellier against Marseille (Ligue 1), rated at 56% confidence. Matches involving Montpellier produced 4.2 goals per game over their last 5, and 5 of those went over 2.5. For Marseille it is 2.8 goals per game, with 2 of 5 over 2.5. The form of both teams backs the call.

Past meetings don't back this call, with just 2 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. The 56% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 0-5, so Over 2.5 landed.

How we make our predictions →

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4.2
avg goals, Montpellier last 5
2.8
avg goals, Marseille last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
7 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Montpellier
Reims 4-2 Montpellier
Oct 06, 2024
Over 2.5✓
AS Monaco 2-1 Montpellier
Sep 28, 2024
Over 2.5✓
Montpellier 3-2 Auxerre
Sep 22, 2024
Over 2.5✓
Stade Rennais 3-0 Montpellier
Sep 15, 2024
Over 2.5✓
Montpellier 1-3 Nantes
Aug 31, 2024
Over 2.5✓
Marseille
Marseille 1-1 Angers SCO
Oct 04, 2024
Under 2.5✕
Strasbourg 1-0 Marseille
Sep 29, 2024
Under 2.5✕
Lyon 2-3 Marseille
Sep 22, 2024
Over 2.5✓
Marseille 2-0 Nice
Sep 14, 2024
Under 2.5✕
Toulouse 1-3 Marseille
Aug 31, 2024
Over 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Montpellier vs Marseille, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Feb 25, 2024MarseilleMontpellier4-1
Over 2.5✓
Dec 20, 2023MontpellierMarseille1-1
Under 2.5✕
Mar 31, 2023MarseilleMontpellier1-1
Under 2.5✕
Jan 02, 2023MontpellierMarseille1-2
Over 2.5✓
Apr 10, 2022MarseilleMontpellier2-0
Under 2.5✕