Lecce
Fiorentina
Lecce vs Fiorentina Prediction
Why we picked this for Lecce vs Fiorentina
Our pick for Lecce vs Fiorentina in Serie A is Under 2.5 goals, with 73% confidence. Recent form: 2 of Lecce's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.0 goals per game in total), against 3 of 5 for Fiorentina (2.6 per game). Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.
The head-to-head points the other way: only 2 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 73%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 0-6. The pick lost.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Lecce vs Fiorentina, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 02, 2024 | Lecce | Fiorentina | 3-2 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Fiorentina | Lecce | 2-2 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Fiorentina | Lecce | 1-0 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Oct 17, 2022 | Lecce | Fiorentina | 1-1 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Jul 15, 2020 | Lecce | Fiorentina | 1-3 | Over 2.5✕ |