Chelsea
Newcastle
Chelsea vs Newcastle Prediction
Why we picked this for Chelsea vs Newcastle
Over 2.5 goals is our call for Chelsea against Newcastle (Premier League), rated at 78% confidence. Matches involving Chelsea produced 4.4 goals per game over their last 5, and 4 of those went over 2.5. For Newcastle it is 2.0 goals per game, with 2 of 5 over 2.5. The form of both teams backs the call.
The head-to-head points the other way: only 2 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 78%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 2-1. The pick won.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Chelsea vs Newcastle, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2024 | Chelsea | Newcastle | 3-2 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Newcastle | Chelsea | 4-1 | Over 2.5✓ |
| May 28, 2023 | Chelsea | Newcastle | 1-1 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Nov 12, 2022 | Newcastle | Chelsea | 1-0 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Mar 13, 2022 | Chelsea | Newcastle | 1-0 | Under 2.5✕ |