Stoke City
Derby County
Stoke City vs Derby County Prediction
Why we picked this for Stoke City vs Derby County
Our pick for Stoke City vs Derby County in Championship is Under 2.5 goals, with 74% confidence. Recent form: 2 of Stoke City's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (3.0 goals per game in total), against 0 of 5 for Derby County (2.0 per game). That recent scoring pattern is the main reason behind the pick.
The head-to-head points the other way: only 2 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 74%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 2-1. The pick lost.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Stoke City vs Derby County, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2021 | Stoke City | Derby County | 1-2 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Sep 18, 2021 | Derby County | Stoke City | 2-1 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Mar 20, 2021 | Stoke City | Derby County | 1-0 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Dec 12, 2020 | Derby County | Stoke City | 0-0 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Jan 31, 2020 | Derby County | Stoke City | 4-0 | Over 2.5✕ |