Chelsea
Arsenal
Chelsea vs Arsenal Prediction
Why we picked this for Chelsea vs Arsenal
Over 2.5 goals is our call for Chelsea against Arsenal (Premier League), rated at 96% confidence. Matches involving Chelsea produced 4.2 goals per game over their last 5, and 4 of those went over 2.5. For Arsenal it is 1.8 goals per game, with 1 of 5 over 2.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Over 2.5.
The head-to-head points the same way: 4 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. At 96%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 1-1. The pick lost.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Chelsea vs Arsenal, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2024 | Arsenal | Chelsea | 5-0 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Chelsea | Arsenal | 2-2 | Over 2.5✓ |
| May 02, 2023 | Arsenal | Chelsea | 3-1 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Nov 06, 2022 | Chelsea | Arsenal | 0-1 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Apr 20, 2022 | Chelsea | Arsenal | 2-4 | Over 2.5✓ |