Home/England Tips/Chelsea vs Aston Villa
Premier LeagueSunday, 01 December 2024 · Full-time3-0✕
CHE

Chelsea

VS
AST

Aston Villa

Chelsea vs Aston Villa Prediction

Under2.5 goals
54% confidence

Why we picked this for Chelsea vs Aston Villa

Our pick for Chelsea vs Aston Villa in Premier League is Under 2.5 goals, with 54% confidence. Recent form: 2 of Chelsea's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (3.4 goals per game in total), against 2 of 5 for Aston Villa (2.4 per game). That recent scoring pattern is the main reason behind the pick.

Previous meetings agree, with 3 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. At 54%, the recent numbers are close to even, so this is one of our weaker picks; treat it with caution. The match ended 3-0, so Under 2.5 didn't come in.

How we make our predictions →

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3.4
avg goals, Chelsea last 5
2.4
avg goals, Aston Villa last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
4 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Chelsea
FC Heidenheim 0-2 Chelsea
Nov 28, 2024
Under 2.5✓
Leicester City 1-2 Chelsea
Nov 23, 2024
Over 2.5✕
Chelsea 1-1 Arsenal
Nov 10, 2024
Under 2.5✓
Chelsea 8-0 Noah
Nov 07, 2024
Over 2.5✕
Manchester United 1-1 Chelsea
Nov 03, 2024
Under 2.5✓
Aston Villa
Aston Villa 0-0 Juventus
Nov 27, 2024
Under 2.5✓
Aston Villa 2-2 Crystal Palace
Nov 23, 2024
Over 2.5✕
Liverpool 2-0 Aston Villa
Nov 09, 2024
Under 2.5✓
Club Brugge 1-0 Aston Villa
Nov 06, 2024
Under 2.5✓
Tottenham Hotspur 4-1 Aston Villa
Nov 03, 2024
Over 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Chelsea vs Aston Villa, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Apr 27, 2024Aston VillaChelsea2-2
Over 2.5✕
Feb 07, 2024Aston VillaChelsea1-3
Over 2.5✕
Jan 26, 2024ChelseaAston Villa0-0
Under 2.5✓
Sep 24, 2023ChelseaAston Villa0-1
Under 2.5✓
Apr 01, 2023ChelseaAston Villa0-2
Under 2.5✓