Leeds United
Derby County
Leeds United vs Derby County Prediction
Why we picked this for Leeds United vs Derby County
Over 2.5 goals is our call for Leeds United against Derby County (Championship), rated at 63% confidence. Matches involving Leeds United produced 2.8 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Derby County it is 2.6 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form is split here (5 of 10 games went over 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.
Past meetings don't back this call, with just 2 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. The 63% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 2-0, so Over 2.5 didn't come in.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Leeds United vs Derby County, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2020 | Derby County | Leeds United | 1-3 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Sep 21, 2019 | Leeds United | Derby County | 1-1 | Under 2.5✕ |
| May 15, 2019 | Leeds United | Derby County | 2-4 | Over 2.5✓ |
| May 11, 2019 | Derby County | Leeds United | 0-1 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Jan 11, 2019 | Leeds United | Derby County | 2-0 | Under 2.5✕ |