Derby County
Watford
Derby County vs Watford Prediction
Why we picked this for Derby County vs Watford
Under 2.5 goals is our call for Derby County against Watford (Championship), rated at 59% confidence. Matches involving Derby County produced 2.6 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Watford it is 3.4 goals per game, with 4 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form is split here (4 of 10 games went under 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.
Past meetings don't back this call, with just 1 of the last 3 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. The 59% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 0-2, so Under 2.5 landed.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 3 meetings
Derby County vs Watford, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2024 | Watford | Derby County | 2-1 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Feb 19, 2021 | Watford | Derby County | 2-1 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Oct 16, 2020 | Derby County | Watford | 0-1 | Under 2.5✓ |