Home/Uruguay Tips/Progresso vs CA Penarol
Primera DivisionSaturday, 01 February 2025 · Full-time1-3✓
PRO

Progresso

VS
CA

CA Penarol

Progresso vs CA Penarol Prediction

Over2.5 goals
62% confidence

Why we picked this for Progresso vs CA Penarol

Our pick for Progresso vs CA Penarol in Primera Division is Over 2.5 goals, with 62% confidence. Recent form: 4 of Progresso's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (3.2 goals per game in total), against 2 of 5 for CA Penarol (3.2 per game). That recent scoring pattern is the main reason behind the pick.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 2 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 62%, the recent numbers lean this way, but not strongly. Final score: 1-3. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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3.2
avg goals, Progresso last 5
3.2
avg goals, CA Penarol last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
6 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Progresso
Cerro Largo 2-1 Progresso
Nov 30, 2024
Over 2.5✓
Progresso 1-5 CA Penarol
Nov 27, 2024
Over 2.5✓
Progresso 2-2 CA Fenix Pilar
Nov 18, 2024
Over 2.5✓
Defensor Sporting 3-0 Progresso
Nov 14, 2024
Over 2.5✓
Progresso 0-0 Montevideo Wanderers
Nov 10, 2024
Under 2.5✕
CA Penarol
CA Penarol 3-1 CA Fenix Pilar
Dec 01, 2024
Over 2.5✓
Progresso 1-5 CA Penarol
Nov 27, 2024
Over 2.5✓
CA Penarol 2-0 Defensor Sporting
Nov 17, 2024
Under 2.5✕
Montevideo Wanderers 0-2 CA Penarol
Nov 14, 2024
Under 2.5✕
CA Penarol 2-0 Liverpool Montevideo
Nov 09, 2024
Under 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Progresso vs CA Penarol, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Nov 27, 2024ProgressoCA Penarol1-5
Over 2.5✓
Jun 22, 2024ProgressoCA Penarol0-2
Under 2.5✕
May 24, 2024CA PenarolProgresso3-1
Over 2.5✓
Nov 25, 2021ProgressoCA Penarol0-0
Under 2.5✕
Aug 15, 2021CA PenarolProgresso1-0
Under 2.5✕