Stoke City
Cardiff City
Stoke City vs Cardiff City Prediction
Why we picked this for Stoke City vs Cardiff City
Our pick for Stoke City vs Cardiff City in FA Cup is Under 2.5 goals, with 90% confidence. Recent form: 2 of Stoke City's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.2 goals per game in total), against 4 of 5 for Cardiff City (3.8 per game). Recent form is split here (4 of 10 games went under 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.
Past meetings don't back this call, with just 2 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. A confidence of 90% means the recent numbers clearly point to Under 2.5. The match ended 3-3, so Under 2.5 didn't come in.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Stoke City vs Cardiff City, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024 | Stoke City | Cardiff City | 2-2 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Cardiff City | Stoke City | 2-1 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Nov 04, 2023 | Stoke City | Cardiff City | 0-0 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Cardiff City | Stoke City | 1-1 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Dec 10, 2022 | Stoke City | Cardiff City | 2-2 | Over 2.5✕ |