FA CupSaturday, 08 February 2025 · Full-time2-1✓
BRI
Brighton
VS
CHE
Chelsea
Brighton vs Chelsea Prediction
Over2.5 goals
63% confidence
Why this pick
Why we picked this for Brighton vs Chelsea
For this FA Cup fixture we go with Over 2.5 goals for Brighton vs Chelsea, at 63% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Brighton's games produced 3.6 goals on average, 3 of them over 2.5. Chelsea's games averaged 4.0, with 5 of 5 over the line. Current form is what points us towards Over 2.5.
History between the two sides fits the pick too: 5 of 5 recent meetings went over 2.5. The 63% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 2-1, so Over 2.5 landed.
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3.6
avg goals, Brighton last 5
4.0
avg goals, Chelsea last 5
100%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
8 / 10
combined form matches over
Current form
Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Brighton
Nottm Forest 7-0 Brighton
Over 2.5✓Feb 01, 2025
Brighton 0-1 Everton
Under 2.5✕Jan 25, 2025
Manchester United 1-3 Brighton
Over 2.5✓Jan 19, 2025
Ipswich Town 0-2 Brighton
Under 2.5✕Jan 16, 2025
Norwich 0-4 Brighton
Over 2.5✓Jan 11, 2025
Chelsea
Chelsea 2-1 West Ham United
Over 2.5✓Feb 03, 2025
Manchester City 3-1 Chelsea
Over 2.5✓Jan 25, 2025
Chelsea 3-1 Wolverhampton Wanderers
Over 2.5✓Jan 20, 2025
Chelsea 2-2 Bournemouth
Over 2.5✓Jan 14, 2025
Chelsea 5-0 Morecambe
Over 2.5✓Jan 11, 2025
Head to head
Last 5 meetings
Brighton vs Chelsea, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2024 | Chelsea | Brighton | 4-2 | Over 2.5✓ |
| May 15, 2024 | Brighton | Chelsea | 1-2 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Dec 03, 2023 | Chelsea | Brighton | 3-2 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Chelsea | Brighton | 1-2 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Brighton | Chelsea | 4-1 | Over 2.5✓ |