Home/England Tips/Manchester City vs Newcastle
Premier LeagueSaturday, 15 February 2025 · Full-time4-0✕
MAN

Manchester City

VS
NEW

Newcastle

Manchester City vs Newcastle Prediction

Under2.5 goals
56% confidence

Why we picked this for Manchester City vs Newcastle

Under 2.5 goals is our call for Manchester City against Newcastle (Premier League), rated at 56% confidence. Matches involving Manchester City produced 4.4 goals per game over their last 5, and 5 of those went over 2.5. For Newcastle it is 4.0 goals per game, with 5 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form leans the other way: only 0 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5.

The head-to-head points the same way: 4 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. At 56%, the recent numbers lean this way, but not strongly. Final score: 4-0. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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4.4
avg goals, Manchester City last 5
4.0
avg goals, Newcastle last 5
20%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
10 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Manchester City
Manchester City 2-3 Real Madrid
Feb 11, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Leyton Orient 1-2 Manchester City
Feb 08, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Arsenal 5-1 Manchester City
Feb 02, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Manchester City 3-1 Club Brugge
Jan 29, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Manchester City 3-1 Chelsea
Jan 25, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Newcastle
Birmingham 2-3 Newcastle
Feb 08, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Newcastle 1-2 Fulham
Feb 01, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Southampton 1-3 Newcastle
Jan 25, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Newcastle 1-4 Bournemouth
Jan 18, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Newcastle 3-0 Wolverhampton Wanderers
Jan 15, 2025
Over 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Manchester City vs Newcastle, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Sep 28, 2024NewcastleManchester City1-1
Under 2.5✓
Mar 16, 2024Manchester CityNewcastle2-0
Under 2.5✓
Jan 13, 2024NewcastleManchester City2-3
Over 2.5✕
Aug 19, 2023Manchester CityNewcastle1-0
Under 2.5✓
Mar 04, 2023Manchester CityNewcastle2-0
Under 2.5✓