Home/Mexico Tips/Deportivo Toluca vs Guadalajara
Liga MXSunday, 16 February 2025 · Full-time2-1✕
DEP

Deportivo Toluca

VS
GUA

Guadalajara

Deportivo Toluca vs Guadalajara Prediction

Under2.5 goals
66% confidence

Why we picked this for Deportivo Toluca vs Guadalajara

Under 2.5 goals is our call for Deportivo Toluca against Guadalajara (Liga MX), rated at 66% confidence. Matches involving Deportivo Toluca produced 2.8 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Guadalajara it is 3.0 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form is split here (5 of 10 games went under 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.

The head-to-head points the same way: 4 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. The 66% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 2-1, so Under 2.5 didn't come in.

How we make our predictions →

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2.8
avg goals, Deportivo Toluca last 5
3.0
avg goals, Guadalajara last 5
20%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Deportivo Toluca
Leon 3-3 Deportivo Toluca
Feb 09, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Deportivo Toluca 1-0 Tigres
Feb 02, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Pumas UNAM 1-1 Deportivo Toluca
Jan 30, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Mazatlan 2-1 Deportivo Toluca
Jan 25, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Deportivo Toluca 1-1 Monterrey
Jan 19, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Guadalajara
Guadalajara 2-1 Club Tijuana
Feb 10, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Guadalajara 1-1 Queretaro
Feb 02, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Leon 2-1 Guadalajara
Jan 29, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Guadalajara 1-1 Tigres
Jan 26, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Club Necaxa 3-2 Guadalajara
Jan 18, 2025
Over 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Deportivo Toluca vs Guadalajara, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Jul 07, 2024GuadalajaraDeportivo Toluca0-0
Under 2.5✓
May 12, 2024Deportivo TolucaGuadalajara0-0
Under 2.5✓
May 09, 2024GuadalajaraDeportivo Toluca1-0
Under 2.5✓
Jan 31, 2024GuadalajaraDeportivo Toluca3-2
Over 2.5✕
Oct 02, 2023Deportivo TolucaGuadalajara1-1
Under 2.5✓