Brighton
Bournemouth
Brighton vs Bournemouth Prediction
Why we picked this for Brighton vs Bournemouth
Our pick for Brighton vs Bournemouth in Premier League is Under 2.5 goals, with 94% confidence. Recent form: 4 of Brighton's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (3.6 goals per game in total), against 2 of 5 for Bournemouth (2.8 per game). Recent form is split here (4 of 10 games went under 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.
Past meetings don't back this call, with just 2 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. A confidence of 94% means the recent numbers clearly point to Under 2.5. The match ended 2-1, so Under 2.5 didn't come in.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Brighton vs Bournemouth, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2024 | Bournemouth | Brighton | 1-2 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Bournemouth | Brighton | 3-0 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Brighton | Bournemouth | 3-1 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Apr 04, 2023 | Bournemouth | Brighton | 0-2 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Feb 04, 2023 | Brighton | Bournemouth | 1-0 | Under 2.5✓ |