Home/Spain Tips/Almeria vs Malaga
Segunda DivisionSaturday, 01 March 2025 · Full-time2-2✓
ALM

Almeria

VS
MAL

Malaga

Almeria vs Malaga Prediction

Over2.5 goals
86% confidence

Why we picked this for Almeria vs Malaga

For this Segunda Division fixture we go with Over 2.5 goals for Almeria vs Malaga, at 86% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Almeria's games produced 2.6 goals on average, 2 of them over 2.5. Malaga's games averaged 2.0, with 2 of 5 over the line. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 4 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Over 2.5.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 2 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 86%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 2-2. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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2.6
avg goals, Almeria last 5
2.0
avg goals, Malaga last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
4 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Almeria
Sporting Gijon 1-1 Almeria
Feb 22, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Almeria 1-1 Elche
Feb 17, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Deportivo La Coruna 3-1 Almeria
Feb 09, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Almeria 1-1 Real Oviedo
Feb 01, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Albacete 2-1 Almeria
Jan 26, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Malaga
Malaga 1-0 Tenerife
Feb 21, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Cartagena 0-1 Malaga
Feb 15, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Malaga 1-1 Levante UD
Feb 08, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Racing de Santander 2-1 Malaga
Feb 01, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Malaga 1-2 Zaragoza
Jan 26, 2025
Over 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Almeria vs Malaga, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Dec 08, 2024MalagaAlmeria1-1
Under 2.5✕
Feb 12, 2022MalagaAlmeria0-1
Under 2.5✕
Sep 04, 2021AlmeriaMalaga2-0
Under 2.5✕
Mar 30, 2021MalagaAlmeria0-3
Over 2.5✓
Dec 13, 2020AlmeriaMalaga3-1
Over 2.5✓